Europe Scientists Predict Another World Heat Record

2024-11-13

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  • Europe's climate agency says this year is likely to break 2023's record for the hottest year ever.
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  • Researchers at the Copernicus agency also predicted 2024 will be the first year to be more than 1.5 degrees Celsius hotter than what is called the pre-industrial period.
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  • That period, from 1850 to 1900, is when humans began the widespread burning of fossil fuels.
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  • The new data was released ahead of the United Nations COP29 climate meeting taking place this week in Azerbaijan.
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  • At that meeting, international representatives are expected to agree to call for more spending to fight the worldwide effects of climate change.
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  • The European climate agency said that from January to October, the average world temperature rose so much that 2024 would almost surely be the world's hottest year on record.
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  • Copernicus said its records date back to 1940 and are compared with world temperature records going back to 1850.
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  • The director of Copernicus, Carlo Buontempo, told Reuters news agency the main cause of this year's record is climate change.
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  • "The climate is warming, generally. It's warming in all continents, in all ocean basins. So we are bound to see those records being broken," Buontempo said.
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  • Buontempo also said the data clearly show such warming would not be happening without the continued release of carbon emissions into the atmosphere.
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  • Scientists say carbon dioxide is released by the burning of coal, oil and gas.
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  • Buontempo noted the importance of worldwide observations and data collection to support the group's findings and predictions.
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  • Copernicus gathers data from billions of measurements from satellites, ships, aircraft and weather stations around the world.
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  • Sonia Seneviratne is a climate scientist at public research university ETH Zurich in Switzerland.
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  • She told Reuters she was not surprised by the new prediction.
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  • Seneviratne urged delegates at COP29 to agree to stronger action to limit the use of carbon-producing fossil fuels.
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  • "The limits that were set in the Paris agreement are starting to crumble given the too-slow pace of climate action across the world," she said.
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  • Many countries agreed to try to prevent the average temperature of the atmosphere from increasing by more than 1.5 degrees Celsius over a period of years by signing the 2015 Paris Agreement.
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  • Officials from Copernicus have said that the 1.5-degree Celsius limit could be passed around 2030.
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  • "It's basically around the corner now," Buontempo said.
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  • Climate scientists say each increase in temperature can fuel extreme weather.
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  • Recent examples of weather-related events include flooding that killed hundreds of people in Spain and wildfires in Peru.
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  • In Bangladesh, flooding destroyed more than 1 million tons of rice, driving food prices higher.
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  • I'm Bryan Lynn.